HORAN Capital Advisors

New Healthcare Law: Higher Employee Turnover And Reduced Company Stock Returns?

 November 18 2012     David Templeton
One aspect of the new healthcare law (The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA)), and commonly called Obamacare, is the requirement that employers with more than 50 employees must provide healthcare to those employees working more than 30 hours per week. A number of companies, especially in the retail and fast food industries, have stated they will reduce employee hours to below 30 ho...

Many Believe Market Is Oversold So What Will Happen

 November 18 2012     David Templeton
In reading a number of strategists' take on the current market technicals, it seems many believe the market is oversold and due for a bounce.Don't Jump Off The Fiscal Cliff - ForbesMarket Rally Soon? - Extreme Oversold Levels - MTR Investors Group23 of 30 Dow Stocks Oversold - Bespoke Investment GroupUse Dip To Buy Global Growth Stocks - Deutsche Bank's David Bianco Updated: 11/18/2012 3:43pmCase ...

Fiscal Cliff Tax Impact By State

 November 12 2012     David Templeton
The Tax Foundation released a report today showing the tax impact on a median four person family for each state if Congress and the President allow the country to go over the so-called "fiscal cliff." New Jersey would see the largest tax increase of $6,933 or 6.82% on median family income of $101,682. The smallest tax increase would be experienced by the state of Washington at $3,362 of 4.12% on m...

Equity Put/Call Ratio On The Rise

 November 12 2012     David Templeton
The equity put/call ratio has been in an uptrend since mid September when the put/call ratio fell to .53. Not too coincidentally the S&P 500 Index hit 1,465, the high for the year. As noted in May's prior post, Equity Put/Call Ratio Approaching 1.0:"The equity P/C ratio tends to measure the sentiment of the individual investor by dividing put volume by call volume. At the extremes, this particular...

QE3 Not Positive For "Risk On" Asset Class Performance

 November 10 2012     David Templeton
As the below chart shows, QE3 has not had the positive impact on "risk on" asset price performance since its implementation unlike in prior QEs.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsJust looking at prior QE's impact on the S&P 500, the following chart does show the positive impact on the index. However, each successive QE/Twist program has been less effective.From The Blog of HORAN Capital Adviso...

Recession Risk Rising

 November 8 2012     David Templeton
An interesting post has been published by Political Calculations noting the rise in the recession risk indicator. Additionally, the article notes other factors, specifically, dividend cuts, that are signaling increased risk of a recession in the U.S.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsAs noted in the post, The Reformed Broker's Joshua Brown states:"Do you see the percentages on the left side of...

Election Is Over But More Uncertainty Ahead

 November 7 2012     David Templeton
What surprises me the most on this day after the election is the outpouring of advice pundits are freely offering to President Obama on how to deal with the current state of our economy. Following are just a few comments from today.Mohamed El-Erian: Congratulations, Mr. President. Here's how to fix the economy.Kiplinger Magazine: 7 Priorities for Obama's Second TermCNBC: Economists' advice for Oba...

Job Creation Versus Growth In Food Stamp Rolls

 November 3 2012     David Templeton
No matter what your political affiliation, the significant growth in food stamp rolls versus little new job creation since January 2009 is an unsettling data point in the weak U.S. economic recovery. From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsAs noted in a recent Weekly Standard article:"In January 2009, there were 133.56 million Americans with jobs and 31.98 million on food stamps. Today, there are 1...

U.S. Federal Budget At Critical Juncture

 November 1 2012     David Templeton
The title of this post is a little misleading since Congress hasn't passed a federal budget in over three years. Nonetheless, one is able to gain insight into the actual revenue and expenses going into and out of Washington and it is not positive.A recent presentation by Mary Meeker, general partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, at the Ira Sohn Foundation Conference titled USA, Inc, provide...

Apple: Anticipated Future Price Action

 October 28 2012     David Templeton
An article written by Ali Meshkati on his Zenpenny site provides his take on the potential price action for Apple (AAPL) in the coming weeks. He notes:"10-28-12: The best case scenario with AAPL going forward is a period of sideways chop. Those highs at $700 won't be challenged for some time. The low created on Friday will likely be broken within the next few weeks, following a move up to $630 - ...
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