HORAN Capital Advisors

Investors Favoring Bond Funds

 December 17 2011     David Templeton
Recent mutual fund flow data shows investors continue to favor bonds over equities.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsFrom The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: ICIWith the sovereign debt issues in Europe top of mind for investors, they continue to bet the best of the worst fixed income investments are U.S. Treasuries. One risk investors face with fixed income investments is the negative i...

Fragile Employment Market

 December 15 2011     David Templeton
The improvement in the unemployment rate earlier this month was certainly positive on the surface. The rate declined to 8.6% from the previously reported 9%. The improvement though came largely from the 300,000 individuals that simply stopped looking for a job. As a result, these additional people are not counted among the unemployed. As the below chart shows, the number individuals not in the lab...

Dividend Aristocrat Changes For 2012

 December 11 2011     David Templeton
Going forward S&P has changed the methodology on how they determine which companies qualify as Dividend Aristocrats. S&P notes they will only count regular dividend payments when determining the calendar year total dividend payments of a company. Special cash dividends will no longer be considered.The table below contains a list of Standard & Poor's Dividend Aristocrats for 2012. The rebalance wil...

The Need For Cutting Spending In Washington

 December 11 2011     David Templeton
Much of the rhetoric coming out of Washington is focused on the need for more revenue, specifically from individual tax payers. The millionaire tax discussion is emblematic of this focus. As the below chart shows though, individual tax receipts into the U.S. Treasury are up 22% on a year over year basis through the end of September with overall receipts up nearly 7%.From The Blog of HORAN Capital ...

Future Strength In Retail Sales?

 December 4 2011     David Templeton
A common view from pundits on the strength in retail sales on Black Friday and Cyber Monday is much of the increase represented consumers buying forward. In other words, the common take on the strong sales report was it likely won't continue into December. If history is any guide, the below chart might indicate additional retail sales growth is likely for the balance of the weeks leading up to Chr...

Many Corporate And Consumer Positives

 December 4 2011     David Templeton
I noted in a post a few weeks ago about the positive trend in the JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) report which was released by the US Department of Labor and indicated job openings, as of the end of September, were at their highest level since 2008. Additionally, jobless claims, a key leading indicator, have now moved below 400,000 on a four-week moving average basis, which signifie...

Market Driven By Emotions Versus Fundamentals

 December 2 2011     David Templeton
I write this shortly after the Dow Jones Industrial Average rockets higher by nearly 500 points, or 4+%, in just one day, I think back to the concerns raised in recent interactions with some investors expressing concern about the market’s volatility. In August and September, 40% of the trading days in the S&P 500 Index saw daily price swings of plus or minus 2%. This level of volatility was last s...

Investor Sentiment Not As Bad As I Expected

 November 25 2011     David Templeton
Given all the negative news one is hearing and reading about, I expected investor bullish sentiment to be much worse than actually reported by AAII. Much of the European news is negative and today, at the close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reported its worst Thanksgiving week performance (-4.8%) since the markets began observing the Thanksgiving holiday in 19421.As the below chart ...

The Euro Crisis: Revisiting Pitfalls Of The Gold Standard

 November 25 2011     David Templeton
The current issues impacting the Eurozone countries harkens back to the problems with the gold standard in the 1930s. Many believe the U.S. depression in the 1930s was worsened by the fact the U.S. and many other countries were on the gold standard. With the gold standard exchange rates were fixed i.e., depreciating ones currency was not an option. The gold standard did not create the depression; ...

Tom Gallagher Interview: Fiscal Policy Currently Has More Influence Than Monetary Policy

 November 24 2011     David Templeton
Consuelo Mack interviews Tom Gallagher on this week's WealthTrack. Tom was formally with ISI Group until retiring recently and is now a principal at The Scowcroft Group. While at the ISI Group, Tom was voted the #1 analyst on Washington matters by Institutional Investor from 2001-2010. In the interview, Tom notes government policies have rarely been this important or influential in the economy and...
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