HORAN Capital Advisors

Forecast For 2012 By Ed Hyman And Bob Doll

 January 7 2012     David Templeton
The recent WealthTrack interview conducted by Consuelo Mack features Ed Hyman, Chairman and Founder of ISI Group, and Bob Doll of BlackRock. Ed Hyman has been rated the #1 economist by Institutional Investor for 32 years running. Both strategist see the U.S. as the best house in a bad neighborhood for investors. Hyman notes the US economic data has been better, but not great, every week for the pa...

Equity Risk Premium Near An Extreme

 January 2 2012     David Templeton
The equity risk premium recently reached levels last seen at the height of the financial crisis in 2008. The high risk premium level suggests equities are attractive at this point in the market cycle. One key is whether corporate earnings can continue to make new record highs in 2012. Earnings growth is expected albeit at a slower rate than achieved in 2011. Given the level of stock buybacks and m...

Dogs Of The Dow For 2012

 January 1 2012     David Templeton
The Dogs of the Dow in 2011 significantly outperformed the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) and the S&P 500 Index on a price only basis in 2011. The Dow Dogs returned 12.2% versus the DJIA return of 5.5%. The S&P 500 Index was essentially flat on the year.The Dow Dog strategy consists of selecting the ten stocks that have the highest dividend yield from the stocks in the Dow Jones Indust...

Moderate Inflation Benefits Equities

 December 31 2011     David Templeton
During moderate periods of inflation, equities tend to generate decent performance results. I posted the below chart in a post, Where To Invest In An Inflationary Environment, in mid 2010 that details the performance of various investment categories based on different inflation ranges going back to 1972.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSince mid year 2010 inflation has been trending higher w...

Equity Performance in 2011

 December 30 2011     David Templeton
With the close of trading today, following is a quick look at the 2011 price performance of a few select equity markets around the globe.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: Reuters

Watching The Valuation Of Dividend Payers

 December 26 2011     David Templeton
The investment mantra this year has been to focus on dividend paying stocks. Over the long run, payers have had a tendency to outperform the non payers and this has certainly been the case this year. On the other hand though, valuations do matter and the below chart provides investors with a cautionary view of simply buying "any" investment that has yield.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSou...

Investors Favoring Bond Funds

 December 17 2011     David Templeton
Recent mutual fund flow data shows investors continue to favor bonds over equities.From The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsFrom The Blog of HORAN Capital AdvisorsSource: ICIWith the sovereign debt issues in Europe top of mind for investors, they continue to bet the best of the worst fixed income investments are U.S. Treasuries. One risk investors face with fixed income investments is the negative i...

Fragile Employment Market

 December 15 2011     David Templeton
The improvement in the unemployment rate earlier this month was certainly positive on the surface. The rate declined to 8.6% from the previously reported 9%. The improvement though came largely from the 300,000 individuals that simply stopped looking for a job. As a result, these additional people are not counted among the unemployed. As the below chart shows, the number individuals not in the lab...

Dividend Aristocrat Changes For 2012

 December 11 2011     David Templeton
Going forward S&P has changed the methodology on how they determine which companies qualify as Dividend Aristocrats. S&P notes they will only count regular dividend payments when determining the calendar year total dividend payments of a company. Special cash dividends will no longer be considered.The table below contains a list of Standard & Poor's Dividend Aristocrats for 2012. The rebalance wil...

The Need For Cutting Spending In Washington

 December 11 2011     David Templeton
Much of the rhetoric coming out of Washington is focused on the need for more revenue, specifically from individual tax payers. The millionaire tax discussion is emblematic of this focus. As the below chart shows though, individual tax receipts into the U.S. Treasury are up 22% on a year over year basis through the end of September with overall receipts up nearly 7%.From The Blog of HORAN Capital ...
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